MONTHLY NEWS BRIEFING

   

http://www.autoproject.org.cn

 

AUTO/ENERGY/POLLUTION

 

Volume VI, Issue 3, March, 2009

Click here to view past News Briefings

TABLE OF CONTENTS  

General Energy Issues.. 4

Sino-US talks turning to action. 4

Innovation needed in alternative energy field. 4

Powering wind power 5

New energy should be 'top priority' 6

Pollution levels, energy use drop. 7

Power firms bleed on high coal rates. 8

Expert warns of China's nuclear talents vacuum.. 9

Automobile and Transportation.. 9

Wen bats for automobiles. 9

Detailed auto stimulus plan released. 10

Subsidy helps green buses. 11

China government  policies steer Feb vehicle sales higher 11

China's large carmakers woo small rivals. 12

Aims for 10 Million New Cars in 2009, but $1.5 Billion Goes to EVs. 13

Volkswagen's 'strategy 2018' drives sustainable future. 15

Oil and gas.. 17

China to boost Russia energy links. 17

Gas price hike on cards. 17

Oil, insurance majors may report poor earnings. 18

PetroChina get approval for Shenzhen’s LNG terminal 18

China’s West- to East pipeline project 19

PetroChina's net profit for 2008 down 22%.. 21

PetroChina Xinjiang to boost oil storage by 60%.. 22

Climate Change and Air Pollution.. 22

Emissions reduction must be global 22

US-China co-op urged on climate change Deputies make green proposals. 23

China's economic stimulus plans benefit environment 24

China wants importers to cover some emission costs. 25

'Dark' Earth Hour sheds light on climate change. 26

Emission tariff proposal rapped. 28

Top China think tank proposes greenhouse gas trading plan. 29

Disclaimer:

 

The opinions and statements expressed in the articles are those of authors from cited sources, thus do not represent the opinions of APECC.

General Energy Issues

General Energy Issues

 

Sino-US talks turning to action

 

March 9 (China Daily) -- China and the US have called for strong cooperative efforts on energy efficiency since the two countries inked the milestone US-China Ten Year Energy and Environment Cooperation Framework in Washington last June. But energy and environment officials from both sides talked more about "should-dos" instead of "to-dos" in the discussions following the deal.

The countries finally made some detailed commitments at a forum on "Developing Effective Mechanisms for Energy Efficiency Implementation in China " on Feb 26 in Beijing , focusing mostly on commercializing energy efficient technologies.

Such technologies offer a lot of room for the US and China to cooperate, said Jon Wellinghoff, acting chairman of US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, at the forum.

His Chinese counterpart, Liu Qi, the deputy director of National Energy Administration, said the two countries can also find common ground in the alternative energy sector.

China and the US are the world's two largest emitters of greenhouse gases and together consume one third of its energy.

Steven Chu, US Secretary of Energy, sent a message to the forum, urging the US to work closely with China , India , and other nations to fundamentally transform the way they use and produce energy. He stressed working together on energy efficiency, developing renewable energy resources and carbon capture and storage.

Efficiency programs in the US could reduce energy demand there by 20 percent over the next 20 years, according to a US report. If China replaces 20 percent of the new coal-fired capacity it adds each year with Efficiency Power Plants (EPPs) it can meet demand growth at one-third the cost and at the same time save 51 million tons of coal each year and reduce annual CO2 and SO2 emissions by 140 million and 1.1 million tons respectively.

"China has ability beyond the US to scale up manufacturing in an environmentally-sound way as long as the US helps China develop the requisite technology," said Wellinghoff, "We can become trade partners in that regard and move energy efficient technology from the US to China," he added.

China has a number of renewable energy regulations he said the US might adopt if they prove successful in China , he said.

"We are looking at energy pricing structure in US as well as our electric market, and China has some interesting policies that deal with the issue," he said.

Officials from both countries pledged to take concrete measures instead of just talking, at the forum.

"There will be more actual contracts between the two governments in this regard under the new Obama administration," said Wellinghoff.

An economic stimulus package proposed in January by the Obama administration included $150 billion to develop next-generation biofuels, plug-in hybrid vehicles, a new digital electrical grid and lower-emission coal plants.

The two countries initiated a three-year energy efficiency training program at the forum. China 's National Development and Reform Committee and the US-based Natural Resources Defense Council will create a website as a platform for information sharing.

 

 

Innovation needed in alternative energy field

 

March 9 (China Daily) -- Developing a low carbon economy is a must as China continues to industrialize, not only for the nation's energy security strategy, but also as part of an urgent international responsibility to address global climate change.

A low carbon economy requires both new policies and technological support.

But China is a developing country in the process of modernizing and its central task now is to develop the economy and make life better for its people. This puts some practical restrictions on how it implements a low carbon economy.

China is the world's second-largest energy consumer and is now the world's largest coal consumer. China 's proven coal reserves are much larger than its proven oil and gas reserves and it imported nearly 51 percent of its oil in 2008. China 's reliance on coal as a main source of energy will last for a long time.

Alternative energy

But China could enhance its national energy security by developing innovative policies than prompt change in the country's energy consumption structure, shifting it from heavy dependence on coal and oil to energy-saving products and alternative energy.

Inadequate funds and outdated technology also impede China 's attempts to go green. China 's green technology level is generally low. Investment methods for clean energy and environmental protection industries should be improved through preferential financial, fiscal and industry policies.

China needs to embrace the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) market to try to get more international financial and technological support and to boost carbon credit trading with developed countries.

The CDM is a key component of the Kyoto Protocol. The Protocol enables industrialized countries with greenhouse gas reduction commitments to invest in projects that reduce emissions in developing countries, as an alternative to more expensive emission reductions in their own countries. Developing countries, in return, receive extra funding and advanced emission reduction technologies through CDM projects.

$200b for clean energy

According to United Nations' statistics investment in CDM projects amounted to $20.5 billion worldwide in 2006. Some $200 billion will be spent on clean energy projects in developing countries by 2030.

CDM projects will bring in alternative energy technology but it will likely come with strings attached. China needs to cultivate its own technology and put some of its top scientists to work on the issue.

An increasing number of people should be sent abroad to study green technology and more foreigners in such fields should be enticed over here.

China 's carbon emissions are not only an economic issue, but also a social concern. A variety of environmental protection funds and organizations should be used to help get members of the public onto the "green road."

Widespread public acceptance of a low carbon economy would get individuals to employ various kinds of compensatory manners to offset their greenhouse gas emissions.

Green culture is growing in China and more people are practicing green ideas in their daily lives.

" China is ready to work unremittingly with the rest of the international community to achieve harmonious, clean and sustainable development in the world," Chinese President Hu Jintao said at the 2008 G 8 Summit's Major Economies Meeting on Energy Security and Climate Change. Taking steps to encourage the kind of innovation needed to push the country toward a low carbon economy will accelerate China 's gait on the green road.

 

 

Powering wind power

 

March 30 (China Daily) - China will not stop investing in large wind farms despite insufficient electricity demand amid the economic downturn, said a senior official from National Energy Administration (NEA).

Shi Lishan, deputy director of Renewable Energy Department of NEA recently told China Business Weekly that the current electricity oversupply does not alter plans to build more wind power bases.

The country's goal to raise its wind power generation capacity to 100 gW is still achievable, added Shi.

At the National Energy Work Conference in early February, Zhang Guobao, director of NEA said China will build several wind farms with capacity of over 10 gW in the Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang autonomous regions and Gansu , Hebei and Jiangsu provinces over the next decade.

China Wind Energy Association Vice-President Shi Pengfei confirmed that China has started building six 10 gW wind power bases in these regions and provinces.

Gansu province's Jiuquan wind power base will have a 15 gW capacity by 2015, he said.

The Xinjiang wind power generation base in Hami will produce 20 gW of electricity. Inner Mongolia will have a 20 gW and 30gW wind power base in western and eastern part of the region, respectively.

Both Hebei and Jiangsu will each have wind power facilities capable of generating 10 gW but 70 percent of Jiangsu 's wind power capacity will come from offshore operations.

If all the wind power bases finish construction by 2020, wind will account for 3 percent of the country's overall power generation capacity, up from 1.1 percent in 2008, said Shi, adding these facilities will cost one trillion yuan.

Domestic wind power generation capacity grew by 4 gW to 10 gW in 2008, the second fastest rate in the world, behind only the US .

Hebei is planning to attract 100 billion yuan worth of investment for its wind farm projects, which will give the wind-rich province a total wind power capacity of 12 gW by 2020, a senior provincial energy official said.

The province, one of the country's key wind power bases due to its closeness to North China's grid load center, will jointly fund the massive energy projects with nation's top power firms and other investors, said Zhao Weidong, vice director of the Hebei Provincial Development and Reform Commission's Energy department.

The province's total installed wind power capacity reached 1.1 gW in 2008, the second most in the country, after Inner Mongolia .

The country's five leading power generating groups, China Huaneng Group, China Datang Group, China Guodian Group, China Huadian Group and China Power Investment Group are all involved in wind farms projects in the province, said Zhao.

The largest existing projects are ones by China Energy Conservation Investment Corporation, which installed a 300 MW wind farm, and some slightly smaller ones build by Guohua Energy Investment Company (a subsidiary of China's top coal miner Shenhua Group) and Hebei Construction Investment Corporation, said Zhao.

 

 

New energy should be 'top priority'

 

March 12 (China Daily) -- Senior officials yesterday called on the government to treat the development of new energy as its top priority this year if it was serious about easing its energy shortage and improving the environment.

Zhang Guobao, head of the National Energy Administration, said on the sidelines of the annual session of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC): " China should never falter in its effort to develop new energy, even though the current financial crisis temporarily cushioned the conflicts between energy supply and demand."

He added: "We should keep a close watch on the development of cutting-edge technologies the world over, and invest more to improve research and development capabilities."

Zhang warned if the country did not give the development of new energy its due importance, "we will find ourselves lagging behind the world within a decade".

For many countries now, developing new sources of energy is an important move to cope with the global financial turmoil.

In US President Barack Obama's massive stimulus plan, launched last month, he hailed the construction of new energy industries as the key to creating more jobs and pulling the country's economy out of recession.

At present, coal accounts for two-thirds of China 's energy consumption, while new energy accounts for no more than 5 percent of the total, indicating a huge potential to help shift the country's reliance on coal.

Last year, China imported 38.85 million tons of refined oil, an increase of 5.06 million tons from a year earlier, and its reliance on export for oil consumption reached 49.8 percent, 1.4 percentage points higher than what it was in 2007.

In the face of the escalating demand for energy, Zhang said it was "time to restructure the nation's energy mix" by exploring renewable energies and boosting clean energy consumption.

In Premier Wen Jiabao's government work report, delivered during the ongoing National People's Congress (NPC) session, he pledged that the country would vigorously develop a circular economy, clean energy and promote the development of nuclear, wind and solar power this year.

Many agreed that nuclear power should be prioritized in China 's energy development agenda in the next 10-20 years.

"Nuclear power is the most effective energy source to control greenhouse gas emissions, as its power generation process does not emit carbon dioxide directly," said Chen Yingxu, deputy director of the College of Environmental and Resource Sciences at Zhejiang University and a CPPCC National Committee member.

"The rapid development in nuclear power technology in recent years makes it the safest and most economical energy source compared with other renewable sources, such as solar power and bio-fuel," said Chen.

China now has 11 operational nuclear reactors with a combined installed capacity of some 9,100 MW, which accounts for 1.3 percent of the country's total power generation.

According to a nuclear power development plan approved in 2006, the country expects to raise its nuclear power capacity to 40 GW by 2020, accounting for 5 percent of its total capacity.

With the recent boom in nuclear industry, there have been rumors that the country would readjust the target to 70 GW by 2020.

China plans to start work on four new nuclear plants this year in Haiyang, Rongcheng in eastern Shandong province, Sanmen in eastern Zhejiang province, and Yaogu in southern Guangdong province.

China Guangdong Nuclear Power Group, one of the nation's two major companies developing nuclear reactors, plans to invest 30 billion yuan ($4.4 billion) in its nuclear projects this year, Xinhua reported.

 

 

Pollution levels, energy use drop

 

March 9 (China Daily) - China made progress in reducing its energy use last year, according to a government report.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)'s annual report, released late February, said energy consumption per unit of gross domestic product (GDP) fell 4.59 percent in 2008, slightly higher than the bureau's previous 4.21 percent estimate.

Even a small drop in China 's energy use can save tens of millions of tons of coal. The Chinese government had earlier vowed to reduce its energy consumption by 20 percent per 1,000 yuan of GDP from 2005 levels, during the 11th Five Year period (2006-2010). But the country only cut it by 5.38 percent over 2006 and 2007, about a quarter of the five-year target.

But preliminary statistics showed that in 2008 China 's emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2) and chemical oxygen (COD), two major pollutants, have likely dropped 7 percent and 5 percent, respectively, from their 2005 levels.

The country's 11th Five Year Plan requires they be reduced by 10 percent from the 2005 level by 2010. Deputy environmental minister Zhang Lijun said the country may surpass these targets before the deadline.

But China fell short of its target reductions of the two pollutants in the plan's first two years. The two indexes dropped only 2.14 and 3.16 percent, respectively, from 2005 level by 2007, less than the expected 4 percent.

Zhang said that the Ministry of Environmental Protection (MEP) has disapproved or postponed approval of 156 polluting or energy consuming projects.

China needs to "sprint" in 2009 to achieve its green goals, said Zhou Shengxian, environmental minister.

The country also closed inefficient production facilities in industries such as papermaking, coal and ethanol, since 2006, said Zhang.

China increased its capacity to treat medical waste (by 6 percent), residential waste (by 8 percent) and daily waste water (by 35 percent) since 2005, he added.

China 's investment in ecological protection will increase to 1.53 trillion yuan from 700 billion yuan, according to the plan, and 350 billion of China 's 4-trillion stimulus package is earmarked for environmental investment.

"During the new round of investment we need to avoid polluting and energy-consuming projects," said Xie Zhenhua, vice minister of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC).

Wang Jinnan, general director of the Chinese Academy for Environment Planning under MEP, said that the package's infrastructure projects must abide by relevant environmental policies from the beginning and environmental assessments of these projects should be stricter.

Environmental protection and energy conservation will likely be a hot issue during the NPC and CPPC annual sessions.

The National Development and Reform Commission has pledged to increase efficiency in the power sector and to push through more fuel price reforms, while closing down inefficient enterprises, echoing similar policies that have been in place for years.

The government vows to work to make the nation greener, introducing regional climate change programs, shutting small coal mines and power plants and continuing to experiment with cap and trade emissions programs.

Its efforts to increase efficiency include plans to enable power trade between provinces and to upgrade urban power grids.

According to the 11th Five-Year Plan, industrial demand for water should also drop 20 per cent from 2005 to 2010, while forests should make up 20 percent of the country's total land area, up from 18.2 percent in 2005.

Many regional governments have already made ecological promises in 2009.

The Beijing municipality proposed decreasing its COD and SO2 by 2 percent and 3 percent in 2009, Hebei province plans to cut COD by 5.5 percent and SO2 by 5 percent while the Inner Mongolia autonomous region plans to cuts its COD and SO2 emissions to 80 to 90 percent of the 11th Five Year target levels.

 

 

Power firms bleed on high coal rates

 

March 7 (China Daily) -- China 's five major power-generating companies incurred losses in January due to high coal prices.

All these companies lost money in 2008 also because of the same reason.

The companies are China Huaneng Group, China Datang Corp, China Guodian Corp, China Huadian Corp and China Power Investment Corp.

"We expect to see continuous losses in February also," said Zhai Ruoyu, general manager, China Datang Corp.

The current coal price is still "too high" for power companies, said Zhai, who cited that as the main reason for the losses. Transportation costs have also partly caused high coal prices.

Meanwhile the preferential power price policies made by some local governments are expected to be cancelled before March 15, according to the central government.

Many high-energy consuming industries have been facing difficulties due to the economic downturn. To mitigate some of their woes, local governments began to offer them preferential power prices since late last year. However, the move may "cause mess" in China 's power pricing systems, said a statement.

"The first two quarters will be the most difficult for China 's power industry. Power demand is likely to see a continuous decline in the first-half," the China Electricity Council (CEC) said in an earlier report.

Power demand is now expected to pick up only in the third quarter, according to the CEC. The five major power companies posted losses of around 40 billion yuan in 2008, while coal-fired power generators had losses of 70 billion yuan, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

The losses are mainly due to rising fuel costs and lackluster electricity demand. In the first-half of last year coal prices went up sharply, and as a result many domestic power companies plunged into the red, said Xue Jing, executive, CEC.

What's more, many sectors of the economy have seen a slowdown since last September because of the global financial crisis, causing a decline in power generation, she said.

 

 

Expert warns of China 's nuclear talents vacuum

 

March 4 (Xinhua.net) – Beijing-- China is in great need of nuclear science talents from the young generation, a nuclear physicist said here on Tuesday.

Zhu Zhiyuan, director of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai Branch, said China must step up efforts to attract and cultivate more young nuclear talents, in order to meet the demand of the country's future development.

China , realizing the huge potential of the nuclear power as a "clean energy", has already strengthened nuclear science education in recent years, said Zhu, who is here to attend the annual session of the National People's Congress , China 's top legislative body.

However, these efforts could not at once make up for the lack of nuclear specialist education in the country caused by previous insufficient attention towards the field for more than a decade.

"Many young people at the time were simply afraid of nuclear technologies, while others assumed the prospect of nuclear power as unpromising," Zhu said.

Even now, few of the students enrolled in nuclear physics departments of Chinese universities or research institutes chose the field as their top choice, Zhu said, adding that he himself chose the subject inspired by Nobel Laureate Lee Tsung-Dao and Yang Chen-ning back in the 1970s along with many youths of his age.

He said the country's development of nuclear power and the civil or medical use of nuclear technologies are both indispensable from the cultivation of nuclear talents.

" China now needs a batch of ambitious young people to devote themselves to the nuclear science and explore the world of physics," Zhu said.

 

 

Automobile and Transportation

 

Wen bats for automobiles

 

March 6 (China Daily) -- China will take more steps to boost automobile demand by modifying the related policies and expanding the used car and auto leasing markets, said Premier Wen Jiabao.

"New growth areas of consumption will be fostered and developed. The second-hand vehicle and auto leasing markets would be standardized and rapidly developed," said Wen in the government work report speech he delivered at the opening of the second session of the 11th National People's Congress (NPC) yesterday in Beijing .

The premier said the government will also modify the related policies to guide and forge a healthy consumption pattern in the automobile market, one of the key sectors that would stimulate domestic demand and drive economic growth.

Moreover, "we will implement policies to reduce the vehicle purchase tax and subsidize rural residents' vehicles purchases to stabilize and increase consumer spending on cars and motorcycles," said the National Development and Reform Commission in its report on the implementation of the 2008 plan for national economic and social development at the NPC.

Shen Rong, vice-president of China Automobile Dealers Association (CADA), confirmed that it is now drafting a new standard for used vehicle appraisal and evaluation.

"The related government departments are doing research to modify the policy on the sector and establish a public information platform for used vehicles, in a way to standardize the market, and encourage the circulation of used cars," said Shen.

In January, China for the first time topped the US in automobile sales, after a series of industry and market support measures adopted by the government began to take effect.

Analysts said China 's automobile market still lags the US market despite the better performance in sales volume. Used cars and automobile services are significant sectors.

"Sales of used cars make up only about one-third of the total number of cars sold in China, while the used car market is usually bigger than the new car market in developed nations," said Huang Yong, chief expert, China Automotive Technology and Research Center.

Currently, the sales of used cars in the US , Germany and Japan are 3.5, 2 and 1.4 times that of the new car market.

Last year, China traded 2.74 million of used vehicles, with a slight increase of 3 percent from 2007, the lowest growth in the recent years, according to CADA. It compared to total domestic automobile sales of 9.38 million units.

The trade revenue totaled 118 billion yuan, up 10.56 percent from the previous year, said the association.

However, "we are glad to see that among the used vehicles sold last year, passenger cars accounted for 1.43 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 10.17 percent, 7 percent higher than the total segment," said Shen of CADA.

Luo Lei, another official of CADA, predicted that the used car market would revive in the second-half.

 

 

Detailed auto stimulus plan released

 

March 21 (Xinhua.net) -- BEIJING  -- China aims for 10 million units in both vehicle production and sales this year, according to an online government document concerning detailed automobile support package.

China 's automobile industry is to yield an average 10 percent growth for its production and sales in the next three years, said the document, released on Friday.

The stimulus package was unveiled by the State Council, the cabinet, on January 14, but the detailed plan was not released by the government until March 20.

The auto support package was among nine others for the country's 10 industry initiatives by the government since January in a bid to cope with the downturn in the short-term, and upgrade its industrial structure for the long term.

In a three-year development plan, the document said by 2011, passenger cars with an engine displacement below 1.5 liters would take 40 percent of the market, and those below 1 liter would have a 15 percent share.

Analysts say smaller-engine cars use less oil and are more environmentally-friendly. They are also cheaper compared with big-engine, gas-guzzling cars.

China would also form two to three auto giants with capacities reaching 2 million in vehicle production and sales, and four to five smaller companies with capacities greater than 1 million in the next three years through mergers and acquisitions, according to the document.

Another government paper concerning stimulus support for the steel sector was also released Friday. It said China would set up several steel giants, with the top five producing 45 percent of the steel by 2011.

Excessive capacity and low industrial concentration have long plagued China 's steel sector.

Based on 2007 figures from the China Jianyin Investment Securities, the top five Chinese steel companies produced only about 20 percent of the country's steel.

The steel support plans would strive to eliminate respectively 72 million and 25 million tonnes of obsolete iron and steel production capacities by 2011.

 

 

Subsidy helps green buses

 

March 16 (China Daily) --- Recent government measures could boost the alternative-energy bus industry.

The government will give public-transport companies and government agencies as much as 600,000 yuan ($88,000) in subsidies for each alternative energy bus they use.

Li Haiping, chairman of Zhongtong Bus Holding Co Ltd, said the subsidies will help companies get over the high-cost hurdles involved with initially producing green-energy vehicles.

Share prices of listed bus manufactures including Zhongtong Bus and Beiqi Foton Motors rose following the move.

"The policy is good for bus makers", said Qin Pan, brand manager of the Shandong-based Zhongtong.

"It will boost demand for alternative-fuel vehicles," he said.

The funds will be available for electric, hybrid and fuel-cell vehicles used for public transport and sanitation services in 13 cities, including Beijing , Shanghai , Chongqing and Shenzhen, according to a statement on the Ministry of Finance's website. Fuel-cell buses will get the highest subsidies.

Zhongtong produced and sold more than 20 alternative-energy and electric buses last year but plans to produce 200 to 300 such buses this year.

"The company could earn an additional 300 million yuan, 15 percent of this year's total projected income," said Li.

The government of Jinan in Shandong provinces are reportedly considering buying 320 renewable-energy buses for the 11th National Sports Games in October. Zhongtong may obtain most of the orders due to its good relations with the local government, said industry insiders.

The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers predicted there may be 600 green-fuel buses in China by the end of 2009 and 1,000 by the end of 2010. Beijing-based Beiqi has already won an order for 450 hybrid buses from that city's public transit body.

The company plans to build a new factory and expand its annual hybrid bus output to 1,000 units, according its website.

"The government subsidies are big enough for buyers to reduce costs," said Yao Hongguang, an analyst from Shenzhen-based Ping'an Securities.

But financial policy alone may not be enough, said Yao .

"There should be other ways to promote green buses, such as administrative orders for public transportation organizations to purchase them," he said.

 

 

China government  policies steer Feb vehicle sales higher

 

March 11 (Agencies) -- China vehicle sales topped 800,000 units for the first time in eight months in February as Beijing 's policy initiatives aimed at boosting consumption lured buyers back to showrooms.

China , which overtook the United States as the world's No 1 auto market in January, saw 2008 sales growth fall to its slowest rate in more than a decade as the global financial crisis weighed.

"The February figure is very impressive. It seems that the new incentives are really having an impact on the market," said Yi Junfeng, an industry analyst with Changjiang Securities.

The policies introduced at the start of the year, including the scrapping of some road fees and halving of sales taxes on small vehicles, have increased the number of buyers to showrooms nationwide, analysts said.

Many automakers such as Chery Automobile, maker of China 's best-selling compact car QQ, recently unveiled ambitious sales target for the year.

A total of 827,600 vehicles were sold in February, up 24.72 percent from a year earlier, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers said on Tuesday. Vehicle output rose 23.08 percent to 807,900 units.

Passenger car sales in February rose 24.23 percent from a year earlier to 607,300 units, the association said.

In the first two months, cars with engines of 1.6 litres or below benefitted the most. Combined sales of the segment rose 18.8 percent, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology data showed, outperforming a 5.81 gain in overall car sales.

Cautiously optimistic

However, some analysts and industry executives remain cautious about the market's outlook, saying a single monthly figure was not evidence of a sustained pick-up in demand.

The figures may have been slightly distorted by the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, which occured in January this year but in February 2008.

Still, automakers are heartened by the government's measures.

" China 's car market will grow 10 percent this year, if there is good growth of 5 to 10 percent in March," Nigel Harris, Ford Motor's chief of sales and market in China , told Reuters this week.

The No 2 US automaker aims to outperform the market this year, betting on policy support to bolster sales of its newly-launched Fiesta small car which snapped up orders of more than 4,000 units in a five-week long pre-sale, Harris said.

 

 

China 's large carmakers woo small rivals

 

March 9 (China Daily) -- China's auto makers, often touted as possible buyers of assets from desperate foreign giants, are instead heeding calls from the government to look to their fragmented and over-crowded home turf for deals.

China has more than 100 automakers who have been dragging their feet for years on combining to forge large, globally competitive groups, due largely to resistance from regional governments that are keen to protect local jobs and tax income.

But, with a push from the central government, they have developed a new sense of urgency as China 's once-booming auto market slows sharply and losses pile up at many smaller firms.

"The problem with China is we have too many players fighting each other at the lower end but none has the clout to compete globally," said Guotai Jun'an Securities analyst Zhang Xin.

"There has been a lot of talk - or rather expectations - about Chinese snapping up US auto assets, but the automakers first need to make sure they have the ability to turn those assets around."

Sichuan Auto Industry Group Co, a tiny automaker tucked away in southwest China , denied a media report it was in talks to buy General Motors' Hummer brand for up to $500 million.

"I don't know where this is coming from," an executive at the company, which has barely $150 million in assets, said.

But he acknowledged that Sichuan Auto was recently approached itself by some big State-run domestic firms earmarked to lead a restructuring of the local industry.

Limited success

China's big auto groups, including Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp (SAIC) and FAW Group, are mostly low-price manufacturers for brands of foreign partners such as General Motors and Volkswagen AG, while smaller players have succeeded mainly in local niche markets.

Many Chinese companies harbor grand ambitions, hoping to emulate the global success of Asian giants such as Toyota Motor Corp, and some have expressed initial interest in brands such as Saab and Volvo, according to sources familiar with the situation.

But Chen Bing, an official at China's top economic planner which would have substantial influence over any overseas deals, recently tempered expectations by saying Chinese automakers were not yet strong enough to face such challenges.

The central government, for its part, is expected to issue a detailed plan as early as this month encouraging big players to take over smaller domestic firms, state media reported.

The government wants to cut the number of major Chinese auto groups to 10 or fewer from 14, and wants two or three mega-producers with annual output of more than 2 million vehicles each, the reports said. SAIC Motor's production was 1.7 million vehicles in 2008, compared with 8.2 million at Toyota .

To consolidate, however, they must overcome zealous local governments that have jealously protected regional firms and, in the process, fueled duplicative and wasteful investments, auto executives and analysts said.

Some auto executives have been talking down the prospects for acquisitions after SAIC's investment in Ssangyong Motor Co turn sour when the South Korean SUV maker filed for protection from creditors.

"Now we are not interested in acquisitions and we don't have any plans (for acquisitions)," Chen Hong, president of SAIC's listed unit SAIC Motor, said over the weekend.

Strength in fewer numbers

But the case for domestic buys has grown more compelling.

"Now that the economy is slowing and the pace of consolidation is picking up in other industries such as steel and cement, I don't see why autos would be much different," said Chen Qiaoning, industry analyst with ABN AMRO TEDA Fund Management.

Car sales growth in China slowed to a single-digit rate in 2008 for the first time in at least a decade.

Beijing has indicated that it wants Changan, a Ford Motor China partner, and three other big State-controlled automotive groups - Shanghai Auto, FAW and Dongfeng Motor Corp - to lead the nationwide industry realignment.

Signs are already emerging of fresh moves to consolidate.

Hunan Changfeng Motor Co is holding separate talks with Guangzhou Automobile Group and Beijing Automotive Industry Holding Co and could reach a deal in a matter of weeks, a source with direct knowledge of the matter said.

Chery Automobile and Anhui Jianghuai Automobile group may also join hands, executives and analysts said.

However, some mid-sized private-sector players that are well-established in specific segments, such as Great Wall Motor Co, could be tough customers.

"Demand for our vehicles is pretty solid so far this year and we have set a target for about 70 percent sales growth for the full year," said a spokesman at Great Wall, a leading domestic manufacturer of pickup trucks and SUVs.

"We are also profitable and well-managed. Why should we throw ourselves into the arms of someone else who may be bigger but not necessarily stronger than we are?" he asked.

 

 

Aims for 10 million new cars in 2009, but $1.5 billion goes to EVs

 

March 26 (Susty) -- Scaling Up and Slimming Down China ’s Automobile Industry

In the years following, the number of auto manufacturers swelled , if with varying quality and branding originality. Today, there are over 100 domestic carmakers, with about a dozen clustering the market. In the wake of government-led consolidation and recent economic slowdown, three clear-cut leaders have emerged:

• Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation (SAIC)

• China First Automobile Works Group Corporation (FAW Group)

• Dongfeng Motor Corporation (DFM)

Altogether, these companies comprised roughly half of auto sales in 2008, according to trade association China Association of Automobile Manufacturers Although on average these automakers enjoyed double-digit growth in sales for the years 2008/2009, car sales are already flagging, and, like their American analogues, China’s powerhouse automakers are finding it difficult to weather the tough times.

And that is where the Chinese government comes in – literally – stage left. In mid-January, Beijing pledged assistance to the automobile industry as part of its stimulus plan. Quite unlike its American counterpart, the automotive piece of China ’s stimulus package focuses not on giving struggling carmakers direct handouts, but rather in boosting consumer demand.

China Auto Target: Produce 10 million Cars Domestically in 2009

The plan includes 5 billion yuan worth of allowances (US$730 million) – or 5,000 yuan (US$726) a head – for farmers wishing to upgrade their current vehicle and slashing purchasing tax for small cars in half (from 10 percent to five percent).

The Chinese government-set target is to have 10 million domestically manufactured cars sold in 2009, which would exceed the total number of American made automobiles sold worldwide in 2008. If efforts to get more cars on the road sounds like precisely the thing China ’s smoggy skies and cramped cities don’t need, don’t despair just yet.

First, the initiative aims at increasing car sales among rural populations. Chinese cities are holding a firm line on urban auto use, a real necessity considering current traffic-choked urban roads. Additionally, cities like Shanghai have restricted the issuance of new licenses considerably, and are testing measures aimed at keeping existing autos off the street. In Beijing , for example, cars are prohibited from driving one day of the workweek, depending on their license plate number. This follows the similar, but more stringent, measure taken in the capital during and in the lead up to the 2008 Olympics.

Second, the central government has promised 10 billion yuan (US$1.5 billion)funding for development and deployment of alternative energy vehicle technologies, including hybrid, all electric, and fuel cell vehicles, as well as standards that require more energy efficient manufacturing facilities.

Electrifying News: Central Government Pledges $1.5 Billion to EVs

Though part of the earmarked spending will go to auto companies, Industry and Information Technology vice minister Miao Wei says consumers will enjoyrebates for of energy-saving automobile purchases. The government may cough up up to 50,000 yuan (US$7,300) in rebates depending on the energy efficiency of the car.

A great first step in promoting more eco-friendly autos in China, the success of this initiative will depend, in large part, on the capacity of China’s carmakers to increase demand for low-priced, innovative, and technologically advanced autos by creating a superior homegrown variety to the current default option: Toyota Prius (at the recently discounted price of $36,500, even the domestically manufactured models are still far out of the budget of even wealthy Chinese).

At the moment, three companies are racing to outdo each other in electric vehicle sector:

BYD
Chery
Nanjing Iveco

Here’s how they stack up against each other:

China ’s electric prototypes are indeed impressive. The question on everyone’s mind is whether any of the three electric automakers will be able to scale up volumes and decrease price to make the vehicle competitive – even with the generous rebates – on the market?

Despite this promising news, one wonders why the government is encouraging private-car purchases and energy-intensive manufacturing (instead of a service-based economy) to grow given already scarce resources. In its defense – and unlike the US in the ‘60s–‘90s – China is also pumping a ton of money into alternative transportation systems, in order to promote rail andurban transit infrastructure.

Nevertheless, automobiles are likely to become less a luxury good and more aneveryday part of life in China, in response to the necessities of modern life and almost universal development benchmarks. This suggests that keeping up with the Joneses is a behavioral inclination that crosses cultural divides.

 

 

Volkswagen's 'strategy 2018' drives sustainable future

 

March 5 (Xinhua News) -- Volkswagen AG is best known as the manufacturer of the iconic "Beetle", but its new claim to fame may be its recession-busting bid to boost production and increase market share in the already highly competitive Chinese automotive market.

The German company has just unveiled ambitious plans to consolidate its position in China through both new marketing initiatives and a product development program tailored to the needs of the Chinese motorist.

The bold manifesto, released on Feb 26 with target of increasing annual vehicles sales from the current 1 million to 2 million as well enlarging its fleet by adding or renewing at least four models per year by 2018, will open a new chapter for the company's operations in China .

"We have launched Strategy 2018 in line with the long-term objectives of the Volkswagen Group in China . It follows on from the successful restructuring, in line with the Olympic Program, we adopted in the run-up to the 2008 Games," said Winfried Vahland, executive vice-president of the Volkswagen Group, and president and CEO of Volkswagen Group China (VGC).

According to Vahland, 2008 was an extraordinary year for the company and its two Chinese joint venture companies, Shanghai Volkswagen and FAW-Volkswagen: "We exceeded our three-year Olympic Program (2005-08) targets and achieved every objective identified in our 'Year of Striving for the Gold Medal' initiative. We also sold more than one million cars for the first time. These remarkable achievements have consolidated Volkswagen's dominant position in the Chinese auto market and have laid a solid foundation for VGC's continued growth."

As a result of the recession in the global economy, many auto manufacturers encountered an unexpected sales reduction last year and are now planning production and sales cutbacks to live through tough times in 2009. Some of them are even considering of shedding off unprofitable brands and assets.

"Although the global economy and automobile markets still face challenges, we remain fully confident in the long-term prosperity of China 's automotive industry and of Volkswagen Group's future role as an industry leader in the country," said Vahland.

Vahland believes that Shanghai Volkswagen and FAW-Volkswagen, two powerful joint venture companies, can generate new win-win partnerships and achieve even greater success for VGC in the future, a concept VGC refers to as the "1+1>2" Philosophy (one plus one is greater than two).

"We recognize that the slowdown presents challenges. We have defined the plan to face these challenges and take advantage of all the opportunities on offer."

His confidence comes from the excellent sales performance Volkswagen Group achieved last year.

For the 2008 fiscal year, with a 4.5 percent increase in sales revenue to 113.8 billion euros, the Group's operating profit rose by 3.0 percent to 6.3 billion euros.

"We met our target and surpassed our record results for 2007, even though conditions were tougher," Chairman of the Board of Management of Volkswagen AG, Martin Winterkorn, said yesterday.

"The current year remains extremely difficult for the entire automotive industry. Our target is to perform better than the overall market," Winterkorn commented on future business.

Last year, the company, the biggest European carmaker, released Mach 18 (Group Strategy 2018), a development plan for the Volkswagen brand globally that established the development direction of Volkswagen, with the ultimate goal of becoming a leader in the automobile industry worldwide.

In November, it pushed forward a plus plan with focus on becoming an economic and environmental leader in the global automotive industry, which remains the central element of the Group Strategy 2018.

For this reason, the Volkswagen AG Board of Management is intensifying efforts to continue with the successful realization of this ambitious project even in a difficult economic period.

Based on Mach 18, "VGC's newly-launched Strategy 2018 is geared toward the current ongoing Chinese automobile market situation and is related to all brands and long-term business strategy in China in order to achieve the sustainable development of the company," said Vahland.

"And we want to deliver a very clear message (by the strategy) that we at Volkswagen promise long-term development in China and will increase our investment in this market."

Last year, Volkswagen sold 1.02 million vehicles in China - marking a year-on-year growth rate of 12.5 percent. This easily outstripped the 6.7 percent average increase for the whole industry - the smallest increase in a decade on account of growing concerns about the international financial situation. Total vehicle sales for 2008 were said to be around 9.4 million.

Sales of the Volkswagen brand amounted to 844,491, up 8.2 percent from 780,784 units in 2007, including 12,649 imported vehicles. Audi delivered 119,598 vehicles to customers including 13,640 imported units, with a 17.3 percent jump.

The sales of Skoda cars more than doubled to 59,284 from 27,325 units in 2007. The group also sold 518 Bentley cars, and 117 Lamborghini super sports cars in 2008.

To achieve its double-sales target by 2018, Volkswagen is aiming to improve customer satisfaction and brand image through enhanced dealer networks and an upgraded service.

It will double dealership numbers from 1,000 to 2,000. This expansion will coincide with improvements in dealership management aimed at creating the best customer service ethos in the Chinese automotive market.

Volkswagen was one of the first overseas car manufacturers to venture into the Chinese market with a focus on developing a dedicated dealership network. During the past 25 years, VGC has seen its dealership sales grow from initial sales of 1,710 units in 1985 to current sales of more than 1 million cars per annum.

Vahland also outlined his belief that the bulk of market growth will come from increased demand for passenger cars, especially in medium and small cities, where the presence of VGC is currently relatively weak.

However, he also said the ambitious expansion plan never meant compromising on quality. The company's commitment to green issues was also paramount in its future plans in China .

"We will continually optimize production in terms of production efficiency and product quality in order to maintain our leading position in the industry," said Vahland.

The company also maintains a commitment to two of the company's existing initiatives - its "Powertrain" technology/customer service strategy and a wider policy of developing more environmentally-friendly cars.

VGC remains committed to a 20 percent reduction in fleet consumption and emissions by 2010. The implementation of the Powertrain technology, Volkswagen's proprietary environmentally-friendly technology brand, has already made remarkable inroads in achieving these objectives.

"So far, we have reduced the average fuel consumption of our automotive marques by 15 percent. Engine downsizing strategy is another sector we are focusing on. We are looking at not only reducing fuel consumption, but also at generating more power," said Vahland.

VGC also has underscored its commitment to the environment through a series of highly successful initiatives throughout China . As well as the introduction of its Powertrain technology, it has sponsored a TV series on road safety, produced a green education campaign (entitled "Volkswagen's Green Future Environmental Protection Initiatives"), and launched both the Shanghai Volkswagen's Olympic Wish Woods Plan and the FAW-Volkswagen's Public Welfare Woods program. It also provided a "Green Fleet" to assist with the logistics of the 2008 Olympics.

 

Oil and gas

 

China to boost Russia energy links

 

March 6 (China Daily) -- China will renew its deals with Moscow for energy resources before the end of this month, said the Chinese ambassador to Russia yesterday as he hailed the unbreakable link between the two nations.

The agreements will include a long-term crude oil trading pact and a project to build a new pipeline, ambassador Liu Guchang told China Daily during discussions at the CPPCC.

"It marks a major breakthrough in bilateral energy cooperation," he said, "and reflects the strengthened and practical efforts of two countries in coping with the sharp drop in trade caused by the global financial crisis."

And he added with gusto: "No matter how grave the economic crisis is, it will not affect the energy cooperation between China and Russia ."

Liu said the move was a crucial part of a high-level strategic partnership, adding: " China 's energy security is key to the country's sustainable development. For Russia , the Chinese market is the most stable, has the most potential and is the most geographically convenient."

On Feb 17, China signed a $25-billion energy deal with Russia in Beijing that will see it secure 15 million tons of oil - 300,000 barrels a day - from Moscow for the next 20 years in return for loans.

Pan Zhanlin, a specialist on Sino-Russian relations and ex-Chinese ambassador to the former Yugoslavia , hailed the energy cooperation, adding that the implementation of the agreement is crucial.

Liu, meanwhile, said the bilateral trade had hit a historical low, with the volume dropping 40 percent in January compared to the same month last year.

Describing it as "a gloomy picture", the ambassador said both sides were affected by the crisis, resulting in shrinking markets, a shortage of financial liquidity and decreased purchasing power.

"We have not made accurate analysis so far," Liu said, "but we are both working on methods to boost trade."

Trade between Russia and China was valued at $56.8 billion last year, up 18 percent year-on-year but a sharp fall from the 44.3 percent of 2007.

 

 

Gas price hike on cards

 

March 20 (China Daily) -- China will raise gas prices within the year, industry insiders said yesterday. The current low price scenario for natural resources offers a good opportunity to make price adjustments now, they pointed out.

It is the right time for China to hike natural gas prices, said Lin Boqiang, energy professor with Xiamen University . Since the prices of gasoline and diesel are relatively low now, any rise in the price of natural gas will not affect domestic consumers much, he said.

The country should further reform its natural gas pricing mechanism to ensure healthier development of the industry. Currently, the pricing system is "very messy", Lin said.

"I believe this round of price adjustment will not be very huge," he said.

The State-capped natural gas prices are less than half of the international prices. The National Energy Administration (NEA) had said earlier that reforming the gas pricing system would be "its key task this year".

NEA head Zhang Guobao had said " China should build a reasonable natural gas pricing mechanism as soon as possible".

Analysts said the country's rising imports of the fuel would end up further linking its gas prices to the international prices.

Last year, China started building its second west-east gas pipeline, the largest of its kind in the world. The project will cross 14 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities. It will carry 30 million cu m of natural gas every year from Central Asia and Xinjiang to the eastern and southern areas, including Shanghai and Guangdong .

The price of natural gas imported from Central Asia through the pipeline would be higher than current gas prices in China . PetroChina, the project builder, is now conducting studies to decide the terminal gas cost of the project, an official with the company told China Daily yesterday.

"It (the terminal price of the second pipeline) will be higher than the current prices," said the official, who did not want to be named.

Zhang Guobao, also vice-minister of the National Development and Reform Commission, said in February that the government would work out the terminal price of the second pipeline by the end of this year.

China 's production of natural gas rose 12.3 percent year-on-year to 76.1 billion cu m in 2008 as the government promoted cleaner energy, according to the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association. The annual growth rate was down from 23.1 percent in 2007.

The country will increase its natural gas production to 120 billion cu m in 2011, a three-year plan chalked out by the NEA has outlined.

 

 

Oil, insurance majors may report poor earnings

 

March 24 (China Daily) -- Industry heavyweights in the oil and insurance businesses may post poor earnings results for 2008, analysts have said.

Seven industry behemoths, including PetroChina, Sinopec, China Shenhua Energy Co and China Life, which together account for more than 40 percent of the market capitalization at the bourses, are scheduled to release their 2008 earnings results this week.

"The companies in the oil and petrochemicals sector have experienced a tough time in 2008," said Qian Qimin, analyst, Shenyin & Wanguo Securities. However, he said "the market may have already discounted such gloomy news to some extent."

Sinopec, the country's largest oil refiner, warned in January that earnings may decline by up to 50 percent due to the disparity between high global crude prices and low domestic refined oil prices during the first half of 2008.

Data from the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association (CPCIA) suggest that China 's three major oil companies - PetroChina, Sinopec and CNOOC - are expected to post combined profits of 222.8 billion yuan in 2008, a decrease of 31.3 percent from a year ago.

Analysts, however, said these three companies could expect better revenues this year due to a rebound in domestic demand and relatively stable oil prices.

China Life, the country's largest insurer also warned in January of a 50 percent fall in earnings for 2008. Another insurer, Pacific Insurance Co alerted a possible 80 percent earnings decline.

"Insurers' investment returns usually occupy a large proportion of the companies' profits. Due to a sluggish stock market in 2008, insurance companies are likely to report shrinking profits," said Tao Zheng'ao, analyst with Donghai Securities.

If bank rates are cut further to below 2.5 percent, life insurance companies would be under more pressure this year, since their rate of insurance policies would be higher than the benchmark interest rate, according to Tao.

 

 

PetroChina get approval for Shenzhen’s LNG terminal

 

March 7 (Bloomberg) -- PetroChina Co., the nation’s biggest oil producer, has won initial approval from the National Development and Reform Commission to build a liquefied natural gas receiving terminal in Shenzhen, a commission official said.

The company has been allowed to conduct a feasibility study for the project in the southern province of Guangdong , Hu Weiping, deputy head of the NDRC’s oil and gas bureau told reporters at the nation’s legislature. The Beijing-based producer is selecting sites and assessing the technical and economic viability of the terminal, Hu said.

PetroChina is building gas import terminals on the nation’s east coast as demand for the cleaner-burning fuel rises. The company may sign an agreement to buy LNG from Exxon Mobil Corp.’s Gorgon project in Australia under a term contract, Chairman Jiang Jiemin said March 5. The Shenzhen terminal may cost as much as HK$8 billion ($1.03 billion), the South China Morning Post reported Feb. 23.

“We have just received an application for the Exxon deal, and it is going through the approval process,” Hu said. It will be up to PetroChina to decide whether the LNG from Exxon will supply the Shenzhen terminal, he added.

China is adjusting its plan to develop LNG because of changes in the economy, Hu said, without elaborating. The current lower prices offer a “good opportunity” for LNG buyers such as China , he said.

LNG Pricing

The government plans to bring domestic natural gas prices in line with global levels to encourage imports of the fuel within a “workable” period of time, Hu said, without giving more details. “It takes time to find a balanced pricing system acceptable to both suppliers and consumers,” he said.

The country will have to rely on domestic production, cross- border pipelines, LNG terminals and coal-bed methane to meet demand for natural gas, Hu said.

PetroChina has found gas reserves at the Longgang field in southwest Sichuan province, although here hasn’t been a “definite result” on the size of the reserves, Hu said today.

China, the world’s second-biggest energy consumer, is planning a third natural-gas pipeline across northwest Xinjiang province, although the construction schedule has yet to be set, Wang Lequan, Communist Party chief for the province, said yesterday. Gas will be sourced from Turkmenistan , Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan , he said.

Drawing Board

The first pipeline across Xinjiang to China ’s eastern regions has been in operation since December 2004. The second, costing more than 250 billion yuan, is under construction.

“The third link is still at the drawing board stage,” Hu said today. “Our current focus is on the second gas pipeline from Turkmenistan and to put it into commercial operation.”

China has yet to secure a fuel source for the third link, Hu said. “The original plan was to import from western Siberia , but we haven’t reached an agreement yet,” he added.

A retail pricing formula for the second West-East gas pipeline, which terminates in Guangdong and Hong Kong , may be settled by the end of this year or the start of 2010, Hu said, without elaborating.

China National Petroleum Corp., PetroChina’s parent, and Myanmar are still working on an agreement for a cross-border gas pipeline, and approval has not been given yet, Hu said.

Lower crude oil prices have given China the opportunity to plan on boosting imports to fill its reserves, Hu said.

 

 

China ’s West- to East pipeline project

 

March 25 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- FLORENCE --GE Oil & Gas technology has again been selected for one of the largest gas transmission projects in the world. GE will be the primary supplier of compression e